[IAEP] [support-gang] How Many XOs?

[Christoph Derndorfer]

Yes, it's *great* that this note is on that wiki page however I'm mainly
concerned about the major public interfaces such as
http://one.laptop.org/map as well as Nicholas and Rodrigo constantly
refer to "2,100,000 children and teachers have XO laptops" when that is
quite clearly not the case.

As Caryl will talk about OLPC at the Scale conference this week I wanted
to use the opportunity to share what I feel are more realistic figures;-)

Christoph

Am 23.02.2011 15:38, schrieb Ed McNierney:
> "There are over 2.1 million XOs in the field as of January, 2011. The information below represents the number of XOs delivered, shipped or ordered for each country or region. Not all XOs are currently in schools."
>
> That seems to be exactly what the wiki page is saying.
>
> 	- Ed
>
>
> On Feb 23, 2011, at 9:33 AM, Christoph Derndorfer wrote:
>
>> Am 23.02.2011 14:19, schrieb Robert Fadel:
>>>> On Tue, Feb 22, 2011 at 23:06, James Cameron <quozl at laptop.org> wrote:
>>>>> I agree with Walter.  About two million.  I don't have access to the
>>>>> internal figures.
>>>>>
>>>>> See also 1,834,500 in a probably partial list of laptop orders:
>>>>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_Laptop_per_Child#Summary_of_laptop_orders
>>>> http://wiki.laptop.org/go/Deployments
>>>> There are over 2.1 million XOs in the field as of January, 2011.
>>> we update the wiki and the map every 4-8 weeks based on the actual  
>>> order and producation schedules
>>>
>>> a mapping of many of those same deployments:
>>> http://one.laptop.org/map
>> I still don't buy that 2.1 million figure. Ordered maybe, shipped by
>> Quanta possibly, but definitely not "in the hands of children and teachers".
>>
>> The data on http://one.laptop.org/map also adds up to about 1,800,000
>> with no significant omissions that I can find (definitely none that add
>> up to 300,000) so I think this is pretty much the upper bound right now.
>>
>> Peru had 250,000 XOs in the field (with 40,000 more in a warehouse in
>> Lima) as of late August 2010, I have a hard time believing that since
>> then an additional 620,000 XO have actually been distributed.
>>
>> The map and corresponding wiki pages also indicate that in Rwanda
>> 110,000 XOs have been distributed when at least as of three weeks ago
>> that number was actually closer to 15,000.
>>
>> In the U.S. G1G1 numbers also seem to be included in the total 95,000 tally.
>>
>> So overall my personal *guesstimate* at this point is that 1.5 million
>> is at the very best the *number of children and teachers with an XO*
>> with a more likely figure being somewhere in the area of 1.2 million.
>>
>> I know others don't think these details matter, but as I explained to
>> Robert back in Vienna exactly one year ago I believe getting these
>> numbers right is important considering how historically OLPC hasn't been
>> too good in matching the numbers it has thrown around ($100 laptop, 1W
>> laptop, etc.)
>>
>> Cheers,
>> Christoph
>>
>> -- 
>> Christoph Derndorfer
>> co-editor, www.olpcnews.com
>> e-mail: christoph at olpcnews.com
>>
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-- 
Christoph Derndorfer
co-editor, www.olpcnews.com
e-mail: christoph at olpcnews.com